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Independent analysis of the Taiwan Strait Founded by Matthew R. Floegel

Strait Perspective

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A clearer view across the Taiwan Strait.

The latest analysis

19 OCTOBER 2026

Chinese military strategy

The Pressure Before the War

Chinese military strategy in the Taiwan Strait

Taiwan could avoid an invasion and still lose freedom to act. How maritime coercion could put trade on Beijing’s terms, and why protecting commercial access belongs at the center of defense planning.

By Matthew R. Floegel

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China Coast Guard vessel 4204 moored beside an industrial waterfront, photographed in October 2019.
China Coast Guard vessel 4204, photographed October 5, 2019. Archival image. Photograph: Tyg728 / Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0. Resized and cropped for display; the displayed photograph is shared under the same license.

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Recent analysis

View the archive

Taiwan defense strategy

The Second Salvo

What could Taiwan keep doing after the opening attacks? The case for funding ammunition, maintenance, and trained crews before another generation of larger surface warships.

Matthew R. Floegel · 12 October 2026

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Regional security

Beyond the Strait

Japan, the Philippines, and the United States share concerns about regional security. How far do their commitments actually align?

Matthew R. Floegel · 5 October 2026

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U.S.–China relations

Strategic Stability and the Taiwan Test

Washington and Beijing can agree on the value of stability while disagreeing about what it requires. Taiwan puts that difference to the test.

Matthew R. Floegel · 28 September 2026

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The resource library

Understand
the Strait.

Clear introductions to the history, politics, and security questions shaping the region. Start with the context, follow the sources, and build your own understanding.

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  • HistoryThe events that shaped today’s disputes
  • ChinaBeijing’s priorities and its approach to Taiwan
  • TaiwanDemocracy, identity, and the island’s choices
  • The U.S. rolePolicy, partnerships, and strategic ambiguity

About the publication

Strait Perspective is an independent publication focused on China, Taiwan, and U.S. foreign policy. Through original analysis, an accessible resource library, and its flagship newsletter, Strait to the Point, it examines the decisions shaping the Taiwan Strait and regional security. Founded and edited by Matthew R. Floegel, the publication makes complex policy debates accessible while keeping the underlying sources and arguments open to scrutiny.

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